Other headlines – 09/16/2015

Yes, yes, I know, there’s other stuff going on besides the GOP debate tonight. But see, because I am just a lowly blogger, I am not allowed to just focus on Trump 24/7 like the rest of the media does. I have standards.

When you’ve lost Tom McClintock: Congressman Tom McClintock (R-CA) has just resigned from the House Freedom Caucus, or as I like to call them, the “Do Nothing” Caucus. As we all know by now, these are the individuals with short-term memories and the only people who think the shutdown the GOP brought upon us two years ago did anything remotely successful. Of course, the 2013 shutdown did not stop Obamacare (more on that below), the GOP’s favorability ratings are well below those of the Democratic Party’s, and everyone still thinks that Congress is incapable of doing anything right. The last part of course is not true, it’s just that the House Freedom Caucus gets tons of fundraising money by not doing anything, and of course they are the most vocal resistance to immigration reform and anything else with the word reform in it. Anyway, the letter of resignation, brought to us by Tierney Sneed at TPM, shows us that Congressman McClintock has had enough of the caucus’s B.S. and wants nothing to do with the impending shutdown over Planned Parenthood. It’s always funny when one crazy guy looks at a bunch of other crazy guys and goes “screw these guys, I’m going home”.

Obamacare is working, part 11,672: Jordan Weissman at Slate brings us some charts that show us that Marxist-Socialist-Communist-Kenyan-Care brought the number of uninsured individuals down from around 14 percent in 2010 to 10.4 this past year. Thanks to Marxist-Socialist-Communist-Kenyan-Care, 8.8 million fewer Americans are uninsured. Even if it is true that most Americans sought coverage through Medicaid expansion, it still means that accessing basic care has become easier for millions of Americans. Even conservative lawmakers like this State Senator in Kansas is now considering being open to Medicaid expansion in Kansas. Back to the original article, Weissman shows that the uninsured rate declined much more precipitously in states that went through with the Medicaid expansion. Furthermore, the doomsday predictions from conservatives failed to materialize and we’re not seeing Grandmothers and Grandfathers being executed by government enforced death squads.

Attention anyone named Hillary Clinton; please read this: I know Hillary Clinton won’t actually read this (she’s kinda busy at the moment), but a lot of other people should. Tommy Christopher at Mediaite has a great column which discusses the various onslaught of negative attention Clinton is getting from all different types of political media. It’s not just Fox News hammering her, MSNBC and the New York Times are lambasting her despite the fact that the State Department gave her clearance to delete the infamous e-mails that are in question (as part of “e-mail/server-gate” scandal), her hard drive actually wasn’t wiped and she has agreed to testify (yet again) that she didn’t actually orchestrate Benghazi. Regardless, as Christoper notes, because Hillary is common enemy number-one among the political media, she will continue to be hammered even though the scandals attributed to her are largely exaggerated for the benefit of those reporting on it (not to mention Republicans). Christopher concludes his column by recommending that Clinton “Apollo Creed” Trump and challenge him to a one-on-one debate on CNN (hosted by Jake Tapper). I have to admit, I have no idea what Christopher is referencing, but I do recommend that Hillary not take the bait from the media and question her front-runner status. Challenge Trump as if you already know you’re going to face him in the general election. Show the media that you’re unafraid and you’re not going away quietly. Don’t be scared of Bernie Sanders, either. Sanders’ is clearly elevating himself in the polls and has run an increasingly impressive campaign, but don’t take the media’s bait. Please.

Read more Amanda Marcotte: Just do it. You won’t regret it.

Predictions for tonight’s CNN debate…

I’m going to do the same thing I did last time for my debate predictions format. It’s just easier this way than going over every single candidate individually. The first thing I will predict is that Jake Tapper, Hugh Hewitt and Dana Bash will all do a terrific job and it will probably be a lively event with maybe some twists and turns.

6 PM debate: Once again, we have yet another “kids table” debate. The only difference is that the candidates participating in this debate are even more irrelevant than they were a month ago. Also, there will be one less candidate since Rick Perry suspended his campaign due to lack of any interest whatsoever. Also, he’s terrible at running for president. As far as I know, the moderators will still be conservative talk-radio star Hugh Hewitt, Jake Tapper and Dana Bash (as they are scheduled to host the main event at 8 PM). Here are the following participants in tonight’s “kids table” debate:

Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum; Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal; South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham; former New York Gov. George Pataki; and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore

What to look out for: So last time I predicted there would be strong performances from Santorum and Graham. I turned out to be very, very wrong on Graham, and sort-of right on Santorum. Graham looked very depressed and bored last time, and I haven’t really seen an acknowledgement on his part that he needs to change that for tonight. Moreover, even if the questions tonight are geared towards foreign policy (supposedly his “area of expertise”), I haven’t seen any compelling evidence that he will give answers that will make him stand out. As far as Santorum is concerned, he doesn’t seem to be playing up the same “blue collar voter” angle as he did last time. I think Santorum will try to steer the conversation towards foreign policy, but it’s possible he may be asked about the GOP’s impending plan to shut the government down over defunding Planned Parenthood. Or perhaps he will get a question regarding Kim Davis and use that as an opportunity to play the “christians are so totally persecuted in America” angle. Either way, it’s not clear if this crowd will really eat it up like they would in the South or in Iowa. Yes, it’s true that certain parts of Southern California (i.e. San Diego and Orange Counties) are very conservative, but I think immigration, foreign policy and economic issues will be more on their minds than social issue.

As far as Governor Jindal is concerned, it’s true that last time I thought he would do poorly and he did prove me wrong. However, we saw no bounce in the polls after his debate performance, hence he is still participating in the early debates. It’s possible he may have another opportunity to shine tonight, particularly because there are two less debate participants than there were back in August. But as I stated last time, if he gets questions that pertain to his record as Governor of Louisiana, he’s screwed. As evidence by a recent interview he conducted with Chris Wallace of Fox News shows, he just cannot dig himself out of the hole that his state is in. I’ve always maintained that Jindal is a smart guy, but in truth that doesn’t really matter if your state is in the crapper. Not to mention the fact that this is a Southern California audience, which is definitely not his crowd. I’m not going to bother wasting my time posting anything regarding Former Governors George Pataki and Jim Gilmore, as they are nothing but joke candidates. Neither of them will have anything interesting to say, and frankly, I would be surprised if anybody in the audience knew who either of them were.

Predictions: Moderately strong performances from Santorum and Jindal and unnoticable performances from Graham, Pataki and Gilmore.

And now we have the second “Grown Up Table” debate. Here are the candidates who are scheduled to appear in the main event:

Donald Trump; former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush; Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker; former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee; retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson; Texas Sen. Ted Cruz; Florida Sen. Marco Rubio; Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul; New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie; Carly Fiorina; and Ohio Gov. John Kasich

What to look out for: Just an FYI up front, the CNN format tonight will be pretty much the same as it was with Fox News last month. Furthermore, people are already predicting that the winner of tonight’s debate will be Donald Trump. Josh Vorhees of Slate correctly states that since Trump was able to get his feet wet a month ago, he now understands the format and the level of scrutiny he will face as the current front-runner. Vorhees also makes a good point that the GOP loyalty pledge issue is now a dead issue as Trump signed it a few weeks ago. Once again, I doubt Trump will engage in any substantive ideas, except maybe this time on immigration. Trump will inevitably be asked to explain why he supports repealing the 14th Amendment and how exactly he plans on rounding up an entire population that is roughly the size of Ohio. Trump also hit it out of the park with the Rosie O’Donnell joke last time, so if he gets a chance to engage in celebrity bashing, he will definitely take it. Trump will undoubtedly be attacked from Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul. Carly Fiorina is coming off of a strong performance she had at the “kids table” debate last month, and she knows in order to be taken seriously she has to attempt to outshine Trump. Fiorina may be able to do so, but she will run into trouble because she is an outsider when ti comes to building the wall along the Mexican border (which she has expressed skepticism of). Fiorina and Trump will also compete based on their business acumen, and frankly it’s going to be hard for her to explain how her business record is better than Trump’s. Regardless, this may be her only chance to steal the spotlight, so she has to take it.

As for the other candidates who will inevitably throw bombs at Trump, Rand Paul is going to go with the “Trump is a celebrity” line and continue to be a cantankerous curmudgeon. Naturally, after this strategy gets him nowhere (yet again), Paul will blame Trump for his woes instead of blaming his own campaign missteps. As for the other person who will go for the jugular, Jeb Bush has been hammering Trump claiming he is an insufficient conservative. Perhaps Jeb Bush may receive a question tonight regarding his tax plan, which according to the Citizens For Tax Justice would give the biggest cut (specifically, 53 percent of the benefits of his tax cut) to the richest one-percent of taxpayers (H/T Jonathan Chait). This would be a perfect opportunity for Trump to strike back at Bush, as Trump has indicated that he is okay with someone with his income paying higher taxes (and he will need to be if he wants to fund that very expensive “deport all the immigrants” plan of his).

As for the other participants, the only real questions left are will Ben Carson continue to go any higher after tonight’s debate and will Scott Walker’s numbers continue to get any lower? Carson has been mostly stand-offish regarding the topic of Trump, even though he had some unkind words about his faith last week (which Carson subsequently apologized for this week). Carson has to prove himself worthy of the second in command status, so you have to figure he has something in his back pocket planned for tonight (Alex Isenstadt certainly does). As for Ted Cruz, his numbers haven’t been too bad as of late. Cruz usually polls somewhere around 6-8 percent, but interest in his campaign hasn’t really taken off. Cruz did better than I thought he would back in August (I said he would do somewhere in between decent and strong, he ended closer to strong), but there is still a certain cloud hanging around his campaign. I think it mostly has to do with him being the ringleader for advocating yet another government shutdown in a few weeks, but hey, what do I know? As for Scott Walker, it’s clear that any interest there was in his campaign is clearly dissipating, and quickly. Walker is polling around 3 percent, and frankly his time as a campaigner may be over in the next six weeks. I would say the same for Marco Rubio, but Rubio still has some tricks up his sleeve. Not to mention the “Republican Establishment” needs a back-up candidate in the event that Bush’s campaign fails to gain any traction in the next few months. In the debate previews that I’ve read, people are clearly overlooking Rubio, but I’m not ready to call him dead just yet. As for Kasich, this is not his territory. It’s true that Southern California Republicans are probably closer to him than Republicans in the South and Midwest are (yes, I know Ohio is in the Midwest but moderates are still viable there), but Kasich hasn’t seen the jump he needs to compete in New Hampshire. I simply fail to see how Kasich makes himself a viable establishment-friendly tonight. As for Chris Christie, he got into an interesting spat with Rand Paul last time, and has since tried to recruit Trump supporters by comparing tracking undocumented immigrants to tracking Fed-Ex packages. While the Southern Californian Republican climate is probably more favorable to Christie than most other candidates, it’s still hard to see a way for him to stand out tonight. The “Republican Establishment” have clearly given up on him and Kasich, and I don’t see much road further ahead for either of these guys. Speaking of not much road left to pursue, Mike Huckabee will go unnoticed tonight.

Predictions: Strong performances from Rubio, Cruz and Fiorina. Decent performances from Trump, Bush and Walker (again). Rand Paul will continue to sound like a spoiled and ungrateful pissant. Despite the fact that I thought Ben Carson did a terrible job last month, the Republicans who were watching clearly liked him and he’s gotten a significant bounce since then. I will keep my prediction that I think he will be dull and boring but Republicans who are watching may continue to be enthralled by his calm demeanor. Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie and John Kasich will go unnoticed.

On debate’s eve…

Alright, so we have the second GOP debate coming up tomorrow, let’s begin with some topics surrounding tomorrow’s debate:

Trump at 40% in NH: It was surprising enough when Trump hit 30 percent, but 40 percent? In New Hampsire? I mean, wow. Just. wow. This is going to give Trump a whole lot of confidence going into tomorrow’s debate (as if he needed more things to feed his ego), and it’s bound to be frustrating for candidates like Paul, Christie and Kasich who were hoping to make a surprise victory in New Hampshire.

RIP Criminal Justice reform?: It’s a bit of a speculation piece, but one of my favorites, Michael Grunwald at POLITICO, begins to connect the dots between a Donald Trump presidential campaign and what effect that will have going forward on contemporary public policy. As I’ve written before, criminal justice reform is a bipartisan hot topic that has support from people like Senators Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) and Chuck Grassley (R-IA). But with Trump putting the topic of crime back in the spotlight (even if it’s mostly talk of undocumented immigrants’ crimes, which are fewer than actual U.S. citizens), will that derail the impending criminal justice reform legislation? Not to mention, Senator Jeff Sessions (R-AL) is one of Trump’s biggest supporters. Sessions is also someone who coincidentally is the biggest objector to criminal justice reform (as well as immigration reform). I have to say, it is very scary that we have now gone from talking about what a Trump presidential run would look like to what a Trump presidential administration would look like. But if Trump’s lead holds through December (now a glaring possibility), we may be discussing this topic a lot more.

The next shutdown?: It shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone that the GOP Freedom Caucus, a Caucus within the GOP House Republicans who refuses to support anything but the most conservative legislation imaginable, is telling GOP leadership (Speaker Boehner and Senate Majority Leader McConnell) that they will not support any bill that contains funding for Planned Parenthood. McConnell and Boehner desperately wants to avoid a shutdown, but if Congress doesn’t pass anything by September 30th, the federal government will shut down (again). At the same time, McConnell isn’t exactly thrilled with the idea of yet another stop-gap budget measure that will simply keep current spending levels where they are for another year.The reason being is that he is the one who is going to have to sell the idea to the House conservatives, and they will be a major pain in the ass for him. Not to mention McConnell will be the one who will be excoriated by several presidential contenders including Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and possibly others (Trump? Walker? Carson?). It should be said that shutting down the government over Planned Parenthood is an extremely dumb idea. It was sort-of understandable why Ted Cruz wanted to shut down the government over Obamacare in October of 2013. First of all, Cruz was looking for a way to make a name for himself (and that he succeeded in doing). But more importantly, at least the polls showed that Obamacare was unpopular, even though the polls also showed that the voters did not want to repeal Obamacare, but instead wanted Congress to fix it. This time though, the polls aren’t on their side. The overwhelming majority of the public wants to continue federal funding for Planned Parenthood. No doubt this will be a topic that comes up tomorrow, so be prepared for that.

Sanders and the “front-runner” status: As always, this is the topic on the Democratic side of things. We all know by now that Bernie Sanders’ campaign has been skyrocketing, and that no doubt the horrible summer Hillary Clinton had may carry into the fall after all. But is Bernie Sanders now the Democratic front-runner. I’m still skeptical, but less so than I was a few weeks back. That being said, I do think it’s safe to call Bernie Sanders the front-runner in New Hampshire. Poll after poll shows him topping Clinton by larger and larger margins. Furthermore, Sanders may even be the front-runner in Iowa, as more and more polls are showing that Sanders’ sagacious ground-campaign is beginning to really pay off. However, Sanders is still down in South Carolina. Moreover, his support from minorities is still tepid at best. Of course, those two things may change by the time we get to the first Democratic debate next month. The difference now is that with the first Democratic debate coming up in less than a month, the candidates are actually starting to go after one another. A pro-Hillary super-PAC just released a widespread e-mail that according to Ryan Grim and Samantha Lachman at HuffPo connects Sanders to “…controversial remarks made by Jeremy Corbyn, the United Kingdom’s new Labour Party leader, including his praise for the late Hugo Chavez”. After stating that Clinton is comfortable with being labelled as a “moderate” or “centrist”, it should be no surprise that pro-Clinton super-PACS are going with that angle to paint Sanders as too liberal of a candidate to compete in the general election. For his part, Sanders has responded with attacks of his own. According to Jonathan Swan at The Hill, Sanders sent an e-mail to supporters “[linking] Clinton to three things her campaign has been trying to disassociate itself from: Wealthy donors, dirty tactics, and yes, even the biggest bogeymen in left-wing American politics – the billionaire industrialists Charles and David Koch.” Where will the next few weeks take us in terms of the escalation between Sanders and Clinton? Will Sanders continue to rise in polls in later Democratic primaries such as South Carolina and Nevada? Will Clinton regain some of her strength back after the next debate and after the Benghazi testimonies in a few weeks? Time will tell.

Even bloggers get sick…

I was sick and decided to take an extended Labor Day vacation. I’ve also been very busy looking up hockey highlights to psyche myself up for the fact that there’s only 26 more days until the NHL season starts. But anyway, let’s get back to the grind with some headlines.

Latest poll newsQuinnipiac University (H/T Ben Kamisar at The Hill) gives us an idea of where things stand in Iowa on the GOP side of things, and it’s not looking good for Scott Walker. Obviously it goes without saying that Trump leads the pack (27%) with Carson not far behind (21%). But what is truly surprising is that Scott Walker has fallen to the levels of Jindal, Graham, Perry and Santorum. Don’t forget that Scott Walker grew up in Iowa and lived there until he went to college. Furthermore, as I’ve already said on here many times, Walker was supposed to be the Republican Establishment’s olive branch to conservative voters who were obviously sour on Jeb Bush. It’s truly surprising how Trump has derailed so many candidates who were considered to be legitimate contenders.

Who is Hugh Hewitt?: Because I know my readers (haha, it’s still funny to pretend I have readers) are unfamiliar with the conservative talk-radio crew, I wanted to link them to Slav Zatoka’s POLITICO profile on the conservative talk-radio host who will be co-moderating the next GOP debate on CNN next week. To be clear, Hugh Hewitt is a very smart man (Hewitt got his Bachelor’s at Harvard and his J.D. at University of Michigan) and I am confident he will do a good job with John King out there in Simi Valley, CA. In case you don’t remember, Hewitt made news last week by asking Donald Trump about his knowledge of our various Islamic terrorist adversaries. Trump not only did not know who Ayman al-Zawahiri is, but Trump indicated he doesn’t even care about the differences between Hamas and Hezbollah. Trump responded to the criticism by calling Hewitt a “third-rate radio announcer” and stated that the people in question would not be in the position they are now when Trump gets into office. Just for the record, if asking if you know who the leader of Al-Qaeda is is a “gotcha” question, then so are “what time is it?” or “how is the weather outside?”.

Debate format for next week: Speaking of next week’s GOP debate, here is the format. The following candidates will be debating on the main stag during the 8 PM hour: Donald Trump, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush,Scott Walker, Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, and Chris Christie. The following candidates did not make the cut and will debate during the 6 PM hour: Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, George Pataki,Bobby Jindal, and Lindsay Graham. I am unaware at the moment if Hewitt and King will moderate both debates.

GOP Civil War starting to manifest: Michael Tomasky at The Daily Beast gives us the inside scoop on the current internecine war brewing within the establishment conservative magazine The National Review and Trump supporters. Throwing down the gauntlet is Jonah Goldberg (author of timeless classics such as “Liberal Fascism”), stating that “[i]f this is the conservative movement now… I guess you’re going to have to count me out.” Matt Ygelsias also covered the #NRORevolt movement at Vox, and boy is there a lot to comb through. You get the gist that there is a sizable section of the conservative movement that is deeply entrenched in White-identity politics. Some conservatives are getting frightened at the notion that the Republican Party will turn into a European right-of-center political party; wherein there is much less reticence towards “big government” and is much more focused on being hostile towards immigrants.

Lefties saying nice things about Hillary?: The left flank of the Democratic Party may be promoting Bernie Sanders like there’s no tomorrow, but Justin Miller at The American Prospect notes that many progressives are lauding Clinton’s Campaign Finance Reform Plan. It’s a plan that revolves around three goals: overturning Citizens United, strengthening campaign disclosure laws, and endorsing public campaign financing. To be clear, Miller believes that this could just be Clinton’s way of entering panic mode, as there is (somewhat) strong evidence her lead is beginning to evaporate in Iowa. Still no word on where Clinton stands in South Carolina or Nevada, but it’s safe to say that it’s a little early to declare Sanders the frontrunner (although Sanders’ could get there if he starts showing strength in the later primaries).

The rest…

-China’s worsening economy, explained: Matt Yglesias at Vox does his global economics thing and explains how China’s lack of exports and sensible investments is leading to a bad summer for the most populated country in the world. Other good economist-explainer-articles can be found here (H/T John Cassidy at the New Yonker) and here (H/T Chris Matthews at Fortune Magazine).

-The latest “Hillary’s doomed” news: Brian Fallon, who is Hillary Clinton’s press secretary, apparently doesn’t know what the word “wiped” means when it comes to “wiping” a server. Expect mass outrage and mockery. Also, Bryan Pagliano, who designed Clinton’s private e-mail server during her tenure as Secretary of State, is pleading the Fifth and will not testify before Congress on September 10th. In other news, there is an actual House Benghazi Panel. That really exists. And people wonder why Congress has a 10 percent approval rating. Oh one more thing (#tbt):

-Latest PP news: The Center for Medical Progress released a ninth video that supposedly shows Planned Parenthood harvesting baby organs or whatever, only to realize that nobody really cares about this “scandal” anymore. Also, Planned Parenthood has officially been rewarded with $1 Million in grant-funding to help promote Obamacare in various neighborhoods across the country. Specifically, three Planned Parenthood clinics, along with other organizations such as “… the National Alliance for Hispanic Health, AIDS Alabama and Oak Hill Missionary Baptist Church Ministries” will be able to apply for grant money to be used for paying people to help sign up for one of the exchanges (H/T Sarah Ferris at The Hill). Also, Florida Governor Rick Scott was just caught hiding the findings of his state investigation of Planned Parenthood, which showed (like all the other pointless investigations) that Planned Parenthood did nothing wrong (H/T Amanda Marcotte).

-NPR = cop killers: Over at Raw Story, Bethania Palma Markus points us to an NPR interview where Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick blames NPR for the latest violence against police officers in the country. Here’s Parker’s delusional rant: “You know, your type of interview has to stop. When I was asked to do an interview on NPR, I asked myself, ‘do I really want to do this? They’re not in the police officers’ corner.’ And you’ve proven that by your interview… Yes there are people in every profession who cross the line and should be fired. Quit focusing on that small percentage of those in law enforcement who have made a mistake or broken the law themselves. Focus on the men and women that you and your family depend on every day to protect your life.”

In other news, only 35 more days until hockey season starts.

Republicans have found their new hero…

As we all know, President Obama has been in Alaska all week renaming Mount McKinley to Mount Black Power, or something. As President Obama was busy further destroying what it means to be an American, he was fishing with some people at Kanakanak Beach, located in the western Alaskan city Dillingham. During the course of his fishing escapade, a salmon that he caught ejaculated on him (see video below).

Naturally, because we have an awesome president, Obama laughed and handled it completely appropriately. As I’m typing this, the fish that ejaculated on Obama is now leading the polls for the 2016 Republican nomination for president (in b4 late night hosts on TV make this very same joke).

Trump will sign the new GOP pledge…

Sometimes the Republican National Committee (RNC) manages to impress me. Yesterday, Reince Preibus and his cohorts circulated a GOP pledge (H/T Alex Isenstadt at POLITICO) to demand that the candidates’ running pledge their support for the eventual GOP nominee. As I type this, Donald Trump is speaking from his stupid hotel in NYC and has agreed to sign the pledge (see pic below). The reason this pledge was forced onto Trump and the other GOP candidates is of course because at the first debate, Trump made waves that he still wasn’t sure he wouldn’t run as an Independent should he not get the GOP nomination (an almost certainty).

Some people believe that Trump was forced into this because he is eventually going to start looking for monetary support from wealthy donors. Naturally, even the wealthy donors who are interested in his campaign will not give him anything if he were to run as an Independent and essentially hand over the 2016 election to Hillary Clinton. Others believe that Trump is telling the truth; he just wanted to be taken seriously by the RNC and not have his candidacy judged from his idiotic attention-grabbing media stunts. Interestingly, conservative talk-radio host Monica Crowley called this pledge-support idea “stupid and insulting” and does not like how the RNC is “…trying to box Trump in.”

As for me, this is just part of Trump’s M.O. Trump wants attention, and naturally, everyone from the media to GOP primary voters to Republican Party establishment will give it to him. Oh and, by the way, a new poll came out today from Monmouth University showing Trump well in the lead with 30 percent (H/T Jonathan Easley at The Hill). Ben Carson, who is the latest candidate to challenge Trump’s lead in the polls, comes in at 18 percent. As for the rest of the field, “Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) take 8 percent support each, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio (Florida) at 5 percent, and former businesswoman Carly Fiorina and Mike Huckabee at 4 percent a piece.” Interestingly, Scott Walker’s campaign is in real trouble as he comes in at only 3 percent. Ohio Governor John Kasich, who was thought to be a serious challenger to Jeb Bush, only garners 2 percent, along with New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul.